Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 5.934012 6.540039 7.186245 7.927446 8.755191 9.652348 10.699981
2025-12-07 4.932428 5.747259 6.671492 7.800885 9.148409 10.710376 12.666298
2025-12-14 4.131683 5.050769 6.150639 7.571557 9.369717 11.584118 14.540054
2025-12-21 3.580216 4.568710 5.810124 7.497302 9.751451 12.688637 16.853612
2025-12-28 3.232797 4.291751 5.682383 7.664141 10.451201 14.284171 20.046925
2026-01-04 2.935559 4.039411 5.549204 7.796752 11.111945 15.908359 23.532334
2026-01-11 2.653703 3.771265 5.357060 7.813594 11.599552 17.341338 26.958316
2026-01-18 2.390594 3.497490 5.121258 7.729581 11.914962 18.546220 30.211884
2026-01-25 2.160420 3.245605 4.886736 7.612704 12.154039 19.650376 33.465679
2026-02-01 1.962161 3.020504 4.666678 7.487489 12.354843 20.706398 36.795563
2026-02-08 1.789699 2.817801 4.459178 7.354697 12.518648 21.709826 40.182834
2026-02-15 1.656855 2.665498 4.316617 7.312226 12.828898 23.006574 44.336718
2026-02-22 1.569065 2.581822 4.283777 7.464468 13.525151 25.144250 50.621796
2026-03-01 1.455927 2.444360 4.144954 7.409070 13.824003 26.561299 55.679658
2026-03-08 1.337014 2.286016 3.954022 7.234608 13.867691 27.472518 59.807618
2026-03-15 1.249938 2.176355 3.839823 7.192683 14.169451 28.959646 65.543533
2026-03-22 1.200742 2.130905 3.839008 7.372137 14.951829 31.597879 74.584314
2026-03-29 1.150626 2.079079 3.820714 7.513239 15.670142 34.205355 84.121601
2026-04-05 1.091224 2.004398 3.751032 7.539121 16.136524 36.302410 92.790705
2026-04-12 1.026075 1.913156 3.640318 7.464989 16.364732 37.863616 100.345482
2026-04-19 0.963145 1.821238 3.520144 7.357015 16.499221 39.213705 107.610399
2026-04-26 0.904660 1.733672 3.401396 7.239479 16.595372 40.481629 114.933737
2026-05-03 0.850245 1.650274 3.284380 7.113600 16.654862 41.663793 122.282628